Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.611628 0.703019 0.802817 0.919809 1.053125 1.200239 1.374825
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.510875 0.642094 0.797866 0.996084 1.241281 1.534321 1.910824
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.427483 0.583420 0.783293 1.057420 1.422743 1.891914 2.539244
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.364562 0.537198 0.774786 1.123970 1.622232 2.305524 3.311312
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.302705 0.479427 0.739409 1.146986 1.766666 2.669553 4.080078
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.260364 0.440997 0.723681 1.194055 1.952128 3.119557 5.044929
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.217135 0.392025 0.682239 1.193097 2.062769 3.473297 5.920171
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.187648 0.359622 0.661012 1.219994 2.221004 3.923870 7.018035
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.156495 0.317696 0.615443 1.196030 2.287219 4.229638 7.917684
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.140699 0.301178 0.612231 1.247198 2.494332 4.807700 9.378398
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.128867 0.290006 0.616840 1.313338 2.738856 5.486617 11.120232
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.113457 0.268183 0.596269 1.325408 2.878760 5.986517 12.590442
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.098858 0.245501 0.570609 1.324093 2.994696 6.462937 14.098954
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.086661 0.225791 0.547848 1.325153 3.116152 6.968762 15.744242
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.076740 0.209445 0.529694 1.333400 3.254842 7.530873 17.591905
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.069640 0.198679 0.522684 1.366526 3.455662 8.256452 19.902747
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.061422 0.183172 0.501205 1.360596 3.563232 8.787980 21.850842
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.056091 0.174418 0.495238 1.392712 3.768847 9.574727 24.504632
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.049375 0.160186 0.472162 1.375939 3.848221 10.071496 26.532182
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.044924 0.151717 0.463265 1.396010 4.027052 10.837269 29.331645
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.039187 0.137913 0.436626 1.361575 4.053613 11.222350 31.218879
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.036830 0.134518 0.439914 1.414497 4.331407 12.297887 35.055329
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.035145 0.133013 0.448701 1.485556 4.672632 13.588839 39.641975